September 12, 2024
NVIDIA stock has witnessed fluctuations in the recent past, but growth is being supported by increasing demand for AI and data centers. Learn about the main factors, which provoke a rally in NVIDIA shares, how the supply limitations influence the demand, and what the analysts predict about the company in the future. Should you even ponder buying NVIDIA? Read more on possible threats and opportunities in the future.
Tommy Cunningham
Multi-Asset Class Trader & Market Strategist

Rally in NVIDIA Stock: Who Is The Rush And To What Extent?

NVIDIA’s Stock Rally: What’s Credit for This and What Next For The Company? Over the past few years, one of the most overheard stocks in the tech space has been NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) mainly due to its leadership in artificial intelligence and semiconductor space. As of September 2024, the stock value of NVIDIA Corporation is characterized by a number of peaks and valleys hence attracting the interest of retail and institutional investors. However, in this type of recent turbulence the stock has demonstrated a remarkable long-term appreciation and the investors have been left wondering. What is causing the increase in NVIDIA stock prices and can it be sustained? This article will identify and discuss the main reasons increasing NVIDIA stock, provide potential explanations of current investors’ enthusiasm, potential downturns if any, and how it all ends. Additional and important objective of the article is to address important issues as “Why is Nvidia dropping?” and “Will Nvidia go back up?”, making sure to add correct searchable words in relation to our audience at www.brokerguide.com. NVIDIA’s Recent Developments In Stock Prices As of September 2024, it has been all about NMDA stock; ups and downs have become the order of the day. After coming up with good earning reports in the earlier part of the year, NVIDIA registered a considerable increase especially due to its strong performance in the AI and data centers market.

But in recent months, the stock has faced quite a decline of about 15%, which has raised the question - is this some sort of short-term pullback or a bear market?What’s Driving the NVIDIA Stock Rally?Artificial Intelligence (AI) Growth Story: NVIDIA Is now an AI company. Since NVIDIA is the leading supplier of GPUs (Graphics Processing Units), which are critical in both the training and deployment stages of AI models, then the company is well positioned to ride on the wave created by the growing number of businesses adopting AI. As competition heats up to provide different tools and solutions powered by AI, orders for such chips from NVIDIA continue to grow which in turn grows revenue. Data Center Revenue: NVIDIA’S data center (DC) revenue has been on an amazing climb. According to company estimates, by the end of fiscal 2025, revenue from the company’s DC segment will inch up by a high of 133% to reach an astounding $111 billion. Most of this increase comes from the need for AI computation because data centers require NVIDIA graphics processing units in order to train large scale AI models. Despite this, price constraint is viewed as a function of supply of NVIDIA’s data center revenue by some analyst, steady increases are projected across fiscal 2025 due to some form of supplementation in supply. Strategic Cooperative Agreements and AI Supercomputers: Similar to other marketers, NVIDIA is actively enhancing its strategic partnerships with companies like Oracle and JFrog respectively.

NVIDIA, for its part, recently entered into a partnership with Oracle and hopes to create a cloud AI supercomputer that will drive the adoption of NVIDIA’s GPUs even further. The same applies to agreements such as the one with JFrog, which serves to unlock AI models to businesses for further usage – all to the benefit of NVIDIA as companies continue on their digital journeys.Reasonable Financials and Forecast: NVIDIA’s fiscal 2025 is going to be a great year for the firm. It has a great future especially in the forecast for these industries data centers, automotive, gaming and thus making the share prices realistic for investors. Earnings have been continually performed above the expectations, and management claims that demand is report on throughout the company jurisdictions which is a catalyst of the expansion of the stock.Competitive AI: Countries and businesses are trying to obtain advanced AIs and NVIDIA is in the middle of the competition. Literally last month, the state of Saudi Arabia has been looking at ways of negotiating with their allies on how to procure American-made sophisticated chips from NVIDIA, a situation that may create more opportunities for the firm. This potential global growth also acts as a great boost to the price of NVIDIA shares.Why Did NVIDIA's Stock Explode?However, while the stock market long-term perspective of NVIDIA still appears optimistic, the share price did not fare as well in the last few weeks.

The reasons of this slow price movement may be several. Profit-Taking: After a huge rally that the stock witnessed early in the year, it is most likely that many investors are cashing out. With the stock price of NVIDIA reaching the highest point, some of the traders might have opted to book their profits thus the relapse. Macroeconomic Concerns: Other sector concerns, such as inflation, interest rates increase and war issues, have depressed the tech markets including NVIDIA. Therefore, as the risk appetite shrinks, there is higher tension in the markets as the high priced stock metrics like that concern NVIDIA stock may leap to this level of uncertainty. CEO stock sales: In September 2024, Nolan Hwang sold more than $25 million share of the Nvidia Corporation selling this leave many in doubt about how healthy the company is. Insider sells at times do not always scream trouble for the company but a few may point out towards a negative sentiment in the market regarding the immediate future health of the firm which might be the reason for the spin down. Supply Chain Constraints: In spite of the increase in demand for NVIDIA’s GPU, there are some supply chain issue that the firm has been facing. Data center revenue, though growing, has been partly held back by supply constraints.

Certainly, one or two investors may be worried that these supply problems will annoy NVIDIA’s growth for a while and the stock price will pull back. Will NVIDIA Go Back Up? There is also the obvious concern among investors, which is how long it will take NFT stock to recover after the recent dip. Some analysts are more optimistic and suggest that the company does have strong fundamentals and this is a good time to invest as the stock has retreated. Increasing Supply to Meet Demand: As NVIDIA begins to resolve its supply chain challenges, it should be able to increase the output of its high demand graphical processing units. As more supply comes online, in particular in the data center segment, there should be a progressive rise in revenues in the coming quarters. Growth in AI and Data Centers: The AI boom is far from over and NVIDIA is ready to take advantage of it. With the expansion of artificial intelligence to every sphere of life from healthcare to finances, the market for NVIDIA’s products will keep growing. With the dominance it has in the market of AI chips, NVIDIA is bound to grow over the long term which in turn will propel its shares upwards. Global Expansion: On the other hand, if the U.S government permits NVIDIA to transfer its chips to countries like Saudi Arabia, this could lead to new beneficial sources.

Moreover, there are also prospects for further growth due to the collaboration with foreign companies like Oracle. Valuation and Analyst Support: While NVIDIA's stock is not regarded as relatively cheap, several analysts feel positively about the company's future growth. To illustrate, Goldman Sachs has recently reiterated its Conviction Buy rating on NVIDIA with a target price of $135. The firm maintained its bullishness on the company's competitive moat and plentiful supply chain. Possible Factors That Would Negatively Affect NVIDIA’s Stock Forecast Although the picture of NVIDIA is rather positive, there are some factors that a potential investor should take into consideration:Heightened Competition: NVIDIA needs to be aware of such threats as stronger competition from AMD and Intel as both industries, AI procedures and semiconductor themselves develop. At this time, NVIDIA leads the AI chip market without competition from any company, yet every new development from competitors can take a probability of market share from NVIDIA. Market Restrictions: Given the global nature of NVIDIA’s operations and the core technologies, there are likely to be regulatory obstacles in some countries for the company. For instance, a situation can arise where loses its its R&D on high-chip manufacturing in the USA. Supply Chain Problems: Although the company is making attempts to resolve its supply chain constraints; any extended supply chain problems could however hamper the growth of the company.

Investors should pay attention to NVIDIA’s capability to serve demand, most notably in data center and AI segments.Economic Uncertainty: Demand for NVIDIA tech stocks remains strong amid the popularity of the brand, however this may change as broader economic issues, such as inflation and climbing interest rates, come into play. Also, any slowdown in the development of the world economy could reduce the need for NVIDIA's solutions. Conclusion: Is it Worth Buying NVIDIA?To summarize, shares of NVIDIA witnessed some short-term price fluctuations, however, the outlook belongs in the positive territory. The markets of AI and Data Center are set to grow further and hence will be strong tailwinds for NVIDIA. The stock price may increase further as the company solves its supply chain problems and adds new growth sources. For investors asking, “Does Nvidia stock come back?” or “Is Nvidia a good buy right now?” are best answered based on the investor’s planning time horizon. Long-term investors should be happy with the opportunities that the company will take advantage of with the development of AI and data centers. But active traders must be ready to withstand volatility because of macro concerns and supply chain issues. Investors should also keep track of important factors such as whether NVIDIA is increasing production and moving into additional new overseas regions, as these factors will also be critical for predicting the future performance of the stock.

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